Method and system for determining a company's probability of no default
Patent 7089207 Issued on August 8, 2006. Estimated Expiration Date: September 27, 2020. Estimated Expiration Date is calculated based on simple USPTO term provisions. It does not account for terminal disclaimers, term adjustments, failure to pay maintenance fees, or other factors which might affect the term of a patent.
705/38, Credit (risk) processing or loan processing (e.g., mortgage)705/8, Allocating resources or scheduling for an administrative function705/35Finance (e.g., banking, investment or credit)
Using observable market factors which reflect a current share price, a given share price, volatility in given share price, expected debt recovery fraction, and percentage standard deviation in the expected debt recovery fraction, the instant invention provides probability estimates for no default by a company within a given future time horizon. The invention has applications in the field of bond and company rating and calculation of credit spreads. The invention also provides a relationship between credit spreads, equity prices and volatility, useful as a price discovery tool in determining fair market price of the credit risk, on a name basis for credits that have public equity.
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September 27, 2020. Estimated Expiration Date is calculated based on simple USPTO term provisions. It does not account for terminal disclaimers, term adjustments, failure to pay maintenance fees, or other factors which might affect the term of a patent.
