U.S. patents available from 1976 to present.
U.S. patent applications available from 2005 to present.

Interactive statistical system and method for predicting expert decisions

Patent 5005143 Issued on April 2, 1991. Estimated Expiration Date: Icon_subject September 25, 2009. Estimated Expiration Date is calculated based on simple USPTO term provisions. It does not account for terminal disclaimers, term adjustments, failure to pay maintenance fees, or other factors which might affect the term of a patent.

Patent References

Method and apparatus for coordinating medical procedures
Patent #: 4489387
Issued on: 12/18/1984
Inventor: Lamb ,   et al.

Basic expert system tool
Patent #: 4648044
Issued on: 03/03/1987
Inventor: Hardy ,   et al.

Knowledge engineering tool
Patent #: 4658370
Issued on: 04/14/1987
Inventor: Erman ,   et al.

Method and apparatus for building knowledge-based systems
Patent #: 4675829
Issued on: 06/23/1987
Inventor: Clemenson

Matrix controlled expert system producible from examples
Patent #: 4730259
Issued on: 03/08/1988
Inventor: Gallant

Method and apparatus for automated medical diagnosis using decision tree analysis
Patent #: 4733354
Issued on: 03/22/1988
Inventor: Potter ,   et al.

Domain independent shell for building a diagnostic expert system
Patent #: 4866635
Issued on: 09/12/1989
Inventor: Kahn ,   et al.

Interactive statistical system and method for predicting expert decisions Patent #: 4872122
Issued on: 10/03/1989
Inventor: Altschuler, et al.

Inventors

Assignee

Application

No. 411911 filed on 09/25/1989

US Classes:

702/181, Probability determination706/46, Knowledge representation and reasoning technique706/52, Reasoning under uncertainty (e.g., fuzzy logic)706/924Medical

Examiners

Primary: Teska, Kevin J.

Attorney, Agent or Firm

International Classes

G06F 015/42
G06F 009/00

Abstract

A system and method for selecting from a set of output actions for combinatory situations such as medical diagnosis defined by a pluality of input parameters. A decision making structure is established by an expert having a plurality of linked nodes. Random values of the input parameters are generated, which includes biasing the random values by a function of a preceding response. The steps are repeated until a sufficient number of responses having a predetermined statistical significance is achieved for each node. After this set up and teaching, the accuracy of the systems's predictions may be verified against actual responses by the expert. The decision making structure may be interrogated by entering a situation to be analyzed. The path the expert would take through the decision making structure is predicted by determining the probability of the expert's response at each mode in the structure to arrive at an output action. A plurality of structures may be established, one for each individual expert, allowing interrogation of any or all of the decision making structures.

Other References

  • "Interfaces for Knowledge-Base Builders' Control Knowledge & Application-Specific Procedures", P. Hirsch et al; IBM Jour. Res. Develop, Jan. 1986 (vol. 30, No. 1); pp. 29-3
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